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South Carolina Institute of Archaeology and Anthropology

 

Model Evaluation

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Model  Development

The South Carolina Institute of Archaeology and Anthropology (SCIAA) and the Earth Sciences and Resources Institute of the University of South Carolina (ESRI-USC) collaborated to develop a predictive model for likely archaeological sites using available data sources. The study area covered 111 7.5' Digital Orthophotographic Quadrangles or roughly one-third of the area of the State of South Carolina. The model made extensive use of floodplain, hypsographic, and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data. 

Throughout time, people have been closely tied to their natural and cultural environments; these environments were a significant determinant in their choice of settlement.  An understanding of the natural and cultural environment related to past peoples and their settlements, therefore, allows the archaeologist to make predictions about similar, but as yet undiscovered sites.  For instance, historic sites have traditionally been located along old roads.  Gillam (2000) was able to predict historic sites with some accuracy by using historic map data, rectified to and overlaid on current USGS 7.5’ Digital Othrophotographic Quadrangles (DOQ’s). This method requires the creation of new data through the scanning and rectifying of historic maps, location of a number of ground control points for rectification and finally, the digitization of salient features.  Prehistoric settlements, however, are usually associated with natural features, the strongest being proximity to water.  Other environmental variables that may be considered in the location of prehistoric sites and combined with proximity to water may include topography (gentle slopes, small rises in flood plains) or soil type.  This methodology is not new to the archaeologist who would makes use of a hard copy topographic map as the primary tool to predict where good sites may be located. In order to make these predictions over a large area, covering many topographic maps, the archaeologist would be greatly aided by a GIS-based model. This article documents the development and testing of a parsimonious GIS-based model that predicts the location of prehistoric settlements using existing, publicly available data only.

 


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